Cavalier vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
11º
2º
22
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 1
CAV
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CAV
4 - 0
FSC
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAV
0 - 1
MPA
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 2
CAV
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CMF
0 - 3
CAV
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 0
TRI
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 1
HAR
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
DFC
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
MPA
3 - 1
TRI
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FSC
2 - 2
TRI
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |