Caucaia EC vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAU
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 4
CAU
52%
23%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
TIR
2 - 4
CAU
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
CAU
1 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ITA
4 - 0
CAU
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
ITA
3 - 0
UNI
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
TIR
1 - 2
ITA
15%
20%
65%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 2
ITA
58%
21%
20%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
ITA
1 - 0
MAR
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ITA
4 - 0
CAU
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +3 |