Catania vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
TUR
1 - 0
CAT
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CAT
0 - 1
TER
52%
26%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BIS
0 - 3
CAT
14%
23%
63%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAT
0 - 1
PAL
24%
28%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
USV
1 - 1
CAT
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
AVE
3 - 1
RPO
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
AVE
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 0
PAG
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 1
AVE
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
AVE
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |