Catania vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LAZ
2 - 1
CAT
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
3 - 1
UDI
37%
26%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAT
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
2 - 3
INT
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 2
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CAG
2 - 1
FIO
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 0
CAG
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAG
3 - 1
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAG
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAG
4 - 3
TOR
55%
26%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |