Catania Sub 19 vs Ascoli Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 1
CAT
37%
26%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CAT
3 - 0
ASG
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LAZ
4 - 0
CAT
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
3 - 2
CAT
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CAT
4 - 2
NOC
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 1
ASC
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PES
1 - 2
ASC
44%
23%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ASC
5 - 1
ASG
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
REG
0 - 1
ASC
69%
18%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 1
ASC
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |