Catanduvense vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 2
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 4
CAT
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 0
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAT
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
RBB
1 - 0
CAT
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 3
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
GRÊ
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
COM
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
52%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |