Paulista B Primera Ronda. Jor. 5

Catanduva vs América SP analysis

Catanduva América SP
22 ELO 28
-3.1% Tilt -2.4%
5004º General ELO ranking 22864º
191º Country ELO ranking 576º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Catanduva
21.9%
Draw
42.4%
América SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
Catanduva
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.4%
Win probability
América SP
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanduva
+86%
+118%
América SP

ELO progression

Catanduva
América SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanduva
Catanduva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2018
CAT
Catanduvense
0 - 0
Catanduva
CAT
68%
17%
15%
23 36 13 0
21 Apr. 2018
CAT
Catanduva
0 - 2
Inter de Bebedouro
BEB
35%
22%
43%
24 30 6 -1
14 Apr. 2018
BAN
Bandeirante SP
0 - 3
Catanduva
CAT
33%
21%
45%
24 19 5 0
07 Apr. 2018
CAT
Catanduva
1 - 0
Fernandópolis
FER
27%
21%
53%
22 30 8 +2

Matches

América SP
América SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2018
AME
América SP
0 - 0
Taquaritinga
CAT
46%
24%
29%
27 28 1 0
22 Apr. 2018
JOS
José Bonifácio
0 - 1
América SP
AME
32%
22%
46%
26 23 3 +1
14 Apr. 2018
FER
Fernandópolis
1 - 0
América SP
AME
44%
22%
34%
27 30 3 -1
07 Apr. 2018
AME
América SP
3 - 2
Catanduvense
CAT
26%
24%
50%
24 37 13 +3
20 Aug. 2017
AME
América SP
0 - 2
Mauaense
MAU
48%
22%
30%
26 26 0 -2
X