Castuera vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
49.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 2
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 1
CAS
16%
22%
62%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 1
CDC
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SRE
2 - 1
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 4
JER
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
JER
2 - 0
MIA
56%
25%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
JER
0 - 0
VAL
63%
23%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 3
JER
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
JER
2 - 1
MOR
61%
23%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |