Castuera vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CDD
4 - 0
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
VAL
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
EXT
1 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 3
CAL
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 2
CAS
44%
25%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADL
0 - 1
JER
23%
24%
53%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ADL
4 - 1
OLI
38%
25%
37%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CDD
2 - 0
ADL
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ADL
0 - 1
VAL
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EXT
4 - 0
ADL
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |