Castrovillari vs Rotonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 1
USC
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
USC
2 - 1
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 0
USC
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
USC
1 - 3
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
USC
3 - 0
CIT
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ACI
2 - 0
ROT
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ROT
0 - 1
CCI
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROT
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROT
82%
11%
6%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
BAR
10%
21%
69%
|
19 | 66 | 47 | 0 |