Castroverde vs Rubian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
6 - 1
BEZ
13%
20%
67%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CLU
4 - 1
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 4
NAV
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
MON
50%
22%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
TCD
3 - 3
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rubian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
REL
1 - 3
RUB
20%
20%
60%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
RUB
2 - 2
MON
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SOB
0 - 4
RUB
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RUB
1 - 0
CAR
63%
19%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
TAB
0 - 3
RUB
29%
22%
50%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |