Castro vs Siete Villas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CUL
0 - 0
CAS
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAS
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
COL
35%
25%
41%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Siete Villas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SIE
3 - 5
CUL
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
SIE
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -3 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SIE
3 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 3
SIE
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 0
TEX
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |