Castro vs Selaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAS
64%
20%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GAM
2 - 1
CAS
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
PRE
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAY
46%
24%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SEL
1 - 0
NOJ
72%
17%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ATM
2 - 0
SEL
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SEL
4 - 2
VLE
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
AYR
1 - 1
SEL
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SEL
5 - 0
RAM
74%
17%
10%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |