Castro B vs Los Rios B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SRO
2 - 1
CAS
53%
21%
26%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 8
PEÑ
69%
16%
15%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 3
FOC
30%
21%
49%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LIE
0 - 3
CAS
70%
16%
14%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 3
SMA
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Los Rios B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 5
TCD
52%
21%
27%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
TES
5 - 0
RIO
83%
11%
6%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ISD
5 - 0
RIO
57%
21%
23%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 5
COM
46%
23%
31%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NMB
5 - 0
RIO
57%
20%
23%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |