Castriz vs Tordoia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
AGO
1 - 3
CAS
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 2
UDC
33%
23%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 2
DUM
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 0
BER
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
BOI
2 - 1
CAS
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tordoia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
TOR
3 - 0
VIS
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
3 - 2
TOR
68%
16%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CDM
5 - 0
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SLV
0 - 1
TOR
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
MUX
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |