Castriz vs Monte Louro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
MUR
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 7
CAS
28%
20%
52%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
COR
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
OUT
1 - 2
CAS
36%
23%
42%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
CAS
42%
21%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Louro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
CAM
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 3
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
VOL
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAB
3 - 0
MON
74%
14%
12%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CEE
1 - 1
MON
60%
19%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |