Castrelo CF vs Ameixenda SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrelo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CER
3 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
NAN
39%
24%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LIR
2 - 1
CAS
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COR
2 - 0
CAS
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 4
MUX
24%
22%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ameixenda SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AME
0 - 4
CER
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 1
AME
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LIR
1 - 2
AME
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AME
1 - 2
COR
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MUX
4 - 2
AME
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |