Castillo CF vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
51.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 1
CAS
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 0
CDO
17%
27%
56%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 2
CER
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
CER
3 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 0
LEG
18%
27%
56%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SSR
3 - 1
ALC
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 0
NAV
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
RMC
5 - 0
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CFP
1 - 1
ALC
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |