Castilleja vs Montilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CIU
1 - 1
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 2
CAS
35%
26%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 4
CAB
16%
21%
63%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 1
CAS
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 1
ADS
58%
22%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
CAB
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
ADS
67%
20%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DHE
0 - 2
MON
9%
21%
70%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
ARH
81%
14%
5%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |