Castilleja vs Cabecense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CDG
1 - 0
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
CIS
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 1
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
SRQ
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 2
CAS
40%
24%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 1
ESP
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ARC
7 - 1
CAB
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 0
SRO
55%
23%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
REC
0 - 1
CAB
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAB
0 - 0
CEU
32%
27%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |