Castilleja vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARC
42%
26%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UTR
4 - 1
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
SEV
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ECI
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CDG
0 - 0
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
UDR
82%
12%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |