Castellucchio vs Pro Desenzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellucchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GON
1 - 2
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
MAR
10%
17%
74%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 1
CAS
85%
11%
4%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
BAS
11%
18%
71%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIG
3 - 1
CAS
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Desenzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DES
1 - 0
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 3
DES
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DES
1 - 2
PSG
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
DES
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DES
2 - 1
BAG
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |