Castellnou vs Balconada UE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
49%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1422%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellnou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 5
CAS
51%
21%
29%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MSF
3 - 3
CAS
66%
18%
17%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 3
MAT
40%
21%
39%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 2
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 3
SAN
47%
22%
31%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Balconada UE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 2
JOA
37%
21%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 3
MAN
24%
21%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
FRU
2 - 3
BAL
36%
21%
43%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BAL
5 - 1
PIR
54%
19%
27%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 4
BAL
58%
19%
24%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |