Castellanzese vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 2
LAV
67%
18%
16%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
GOZ
1 - 0
CAS
52%
22%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 2
UNI
25%
24%
52%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +4 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ARC
5 - 1
CAS
47%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
LAV
2 - 1
CAS
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BOR
0 - 0
CAS
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
GOZ
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 2
ASD
48%
26%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACS
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |