UD Castell vs CD Base analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
80.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 3
OTU
25%
22%
54%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CIU
3 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 3
CDI
39%
22%
39%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
EST
4 - 1
CAS
66%
17%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
UDL
51%
21%
29%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
CD Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CDB
4 - 0
CIU
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CDI
0 - 3
CDB
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CDB
1 - 0
EST
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
UDL
0 - 7
CDB
9%
14%
77%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CDB
3 - 0
CFL
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |