Castelfidardo Calcio vs Vis Pesaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
63.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
MAT
16%
21%
64%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
REC
2 - 2
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
FER
17%
21%
63%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
60%
21%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vis Pesaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VIS
4 - 2
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
JES
1 - 0
VIS
31%
27%
43%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIS
1 - 0
ALF
76%
15%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 0
VIS
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIS
1 - 1
SAM
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |