Castelfidardo Calcio vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
OLY
4 - 3
CAS
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAM
16%
21%
62%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
JES
1 - 0
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
ROM
21%
22%
58%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 1
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 2
SAN
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 1
JES
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 1
ALF
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 2
PIN
29%
22%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALF
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |