Castanhal vs Atlético Acreano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
12%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
YAP
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
GAS
2 - 2
CAS
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAO
61%
22%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 1
GAL
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Acreano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 0
AND
82%
12%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 2
PEN
40%
24%
37%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
FAS
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
GAL
2 - 1
ATL
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
YAP
2 - 1
ATL
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |