Castanhal vs Abaeté analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
CAS
4 - 1
REC
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
VAC
0 - 3
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
ANA
4 - 3
CAS
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 0
REM
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
AGU
2 - 2
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Abaeté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
REM
3 - 1
ABA
71%
17%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ABA
3 - 1
REC
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ABA
0 - 2
VAC
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
ANA
0 - 1
ABA
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
PAY
4 - 2
ABA
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | -1 |