Castanet vs Limoges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 3
LEG
24%
22%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LES
1 - 0
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAU
26%
22%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Limoges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LIM
2 - 0
ANG
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NIO
0 - 0
LIM
58%
20%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LIM
4 - 1
BLA
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TOU
4 - 0
LIM
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 0
LIM
73%
18%
9%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |