Castanet vs Furiani Agliani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ROD
4 - 1
CAS
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
SCT
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
FAB
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NIM
0 - 4
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FUR
1 - 0
AUB
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 2
FUR
44%
25%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FUR
2 - 1
AGD
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
FUR
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FUR
1 - 0
AJA
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |