Castanese vs Pinerolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
8º
19º
17º
42
5º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
71 | 74 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 58 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 56 |
8º
|
58% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
58.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 45 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 44 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 33 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 13 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
UNI
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 3
SES
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
GOZ
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pinerolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 3
ASD
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
PIN
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
PIN
2 - 2
FEZ
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SES
3 - 1
PIN
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 1
STR
76%
14%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |