Cassis-Carnoux vs Ardziv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
11º
11º
25
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
AJA
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
COR
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAS
18%
22%
61%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
CAS
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
EUA
2 - 2
BAL
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
EUA
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
EUA
3 - 2
NIC
16%
19%
66%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
EUA
78%
16%
7%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
EUA
1 - 0
RSV
16%
18%
66%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +3 |