Cassis-Carnoux vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
11º
11º
36
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
COR
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAS
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAR
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
CAS
15%
21%
65%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
COR
0 - 2
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 1
SCR
54%
21%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 0
AJA
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |