Casserres vs Pirinaica B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
54.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIL
58%
20%
21%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SLM
3 - 4
CAS
38%
23%
39%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 1
PUI
48%
23%
30%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAL
3 - 1
CAS
52%
22%
26%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pirinaica B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 2
PIR
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PIR
4 - 0
AVI
48%
23%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 4
PIR
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PIR
4 - 0
NAV
48%
23%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PUI
1 - 1
PIR
46%
23%
31%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |