Casserres vs Balconada B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+203%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BER
4 - 1
CAS
57%
19%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVI
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
SSC
39%
21%
39%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NAV
4 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
9%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Balconada B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 2
CCR
24%
20%
56%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
OLV
4 - 1
BAL
57%
20%
23%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 2
VTO
60%
19%
21%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SPM
3 - 3
BAL
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 0
AVI
22%
19%
59%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +2 |