Caspe vs Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CFL
2 - 6
CAS
19%
21%
61%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
FUE
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CDA
1 - 5
CAS
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
CDU
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 3
UDC
28%
27%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
QUI
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
CDC
21%
23%
56%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
RSD
0 - 0
QUI
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 0
UDS
21%
23%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |