Casetas vs Utebo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
62.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SAB
4 - 0
UDC
64%
20%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UDC
0 - 1
TAM
25%
24%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SJU
1 - 1
UDC
74%
17%
9%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UDC
0 - 1
ICF
17%
22%
61%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LAA
1 - 0
UDC
67%
19%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UFC
1 - 2
BEL
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BIN
2 - 2
UFC
33%
26%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UFC
1 - 1
ROB
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
UFC
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UFC
2 - 1
CFB
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |