Casetas vs Peña Fragatina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
HUE
1 - 0
UDC
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UDC
0 - 2
SAA
22%
23%
56%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
DEL
0 - 2
UDC
45%
24%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UDC
1 - 0
BIE
44%
25%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
UDC
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Fragatina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
PFR
2 - 1
CDM
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SAB
4 - 1
PFR
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PFR
3 - 1
CDA
26%
24%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MAL
3 - 2
PFR
43%
24%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PFR
0 - 1
PEN
37%
24%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |