Casetas vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LAA
1 - 1
UDC
49%
25%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
UDC
3 - 3
CAL
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
GAR
3 - 2
UDC
18%
23%
59%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
UDC
2 - 4
CDE
31%
26%
43%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SAA
0 - 1
UDC
33%
24%
42%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 2
ALF
22%
23%
54%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ICF
3 - 0
UDM
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
UDM
0 - 3
PED
43%
25%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TER
2 - 0
UDM
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 1
UDS
33%
25%
42%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |