Casetas vs Alfindén A.D analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 1
UDC
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
UDC
6 - 2
SAA
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CDA
3 - 3
UDC
38%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
UDC
3 - 1
SAD
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
3 - 0
UDC
30%
24%
47%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Alfindén A.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
QUI
0 - 0
ALF
41%
26%
33%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ALF
1 - 0
SAR
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SAA
1 - 0
ALF
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ALF
3 - 1
CDA
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SAD
0 - 3
ALF
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |