Casertana vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FIA
0 - 2
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
USV
78%
16%
7%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
LEC
23%
26%
52%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAS
28%
26%
47%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
NUO
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 3
FRA
67%
21%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 0
AKR
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
USF
5 - 1
FRA
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |