Casertana vs Mariglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
ASD
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 1
CAS
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
ROT
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SOR
0 - 0
CAS
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mariglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 3
FCF
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOC
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
USB
2 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
NAR
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |