Casertana vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SIC
1 - 1
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 0
PAG
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
REG
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FON
0 - 0
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SSS
0 - 0
BV5
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
RAV
1 - 2
SSS
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
SSS
0 - 1
FCS
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 1
SSS
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SSS
0 - 0
FAN
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |