Casertana vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
ISC
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
GAV
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NUO
2 - 2
CAS
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
USP
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOR
0 - 1
RAA
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
USP
1 - 0
SOR
17%
23%
59%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SOR
1 - 0
NUO
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SOR
1 - 0
APR
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 0
SOR
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |