Casertana vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1992 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAS
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
CAS
1 - 0
BOL
35%
31%
34%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
MES
1 - 1
CAS
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
CAS
3 - 0
TAR
37%
31%
32%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
COS
2 - 0
CAS
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
MOD
2 - 1
MES
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
UDI
3 - 0
MOD
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
BOL
0 - 0
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
VNZ
1 - 1
MOD
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |