Casertana vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
CAS
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
FCC
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 2
CAS
19%
28%
54%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
MES
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
CAS
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 0
JUS
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
LEC
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
1 - 1
LEC
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
BEN
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
0 - 1
AKR
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |