Casertana vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
USV
0 - 1
CAS
17%
25%
59%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
TAR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 1
CAS
28%
27%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
1 - 0
ASM
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
FIA
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
2 - 0
PAG
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 0
FIA
30%
28%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
CAT
28%
30%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |