Caserio Perales vs Ancora Aranjuez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caserio Perales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CIU
2 - 4
CSP
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
CSP
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CSP
4 - 2
FSC
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SJZ
2 - 7
CSP
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CSP
1 - 2
SSM
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ancora Aranjuez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AAR
2 - 3
GET
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CER
2 - 3
AAR
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
AAR
2 - 1
APB
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CIU
0 - 2
AAR
23%
20%
57%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
AAR
2 - 2
COB
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |