Caselas vs San Martín Villajuan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
52.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+147%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 3
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MOA
2 - 0
CAS
73%
17%
11%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
GOI
16%
20%
64%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 0
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
ARC
31%
24%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Villajuan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
MAR
13%
19%
68%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
ATL
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 2
MAR
21%
22%
58%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOA
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |